The Hardball Times: About those leaked financials…

Check out my in-depth look at what the leaked financials of several MLB teams has taught us about how the current collective bargaining agreement is working on The Hardball Times!

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The Pirates Prove My Point

First, if you haven’t read it before, please read this post: click here.  It contains my thoughts on why MLB fans are always in search of more competitive balance and why mechanisms like a salary cap or hard slotting are not the answer.  It makes a number of the points that the Pirates have now helped me prove….

Today’s post is where I get to say, “I told you so!”  Thank you Pittsburgh Pirates.  Put simply, just because a team is in a smaller market and not winning does NOT mean that Major League Baseball needs a cap or hard slotting in the draft or anything else to improve competitive balance.  The current system is actually pretty great (see here for how MLB compares with the other pro sports in terms of competitive balance), and MLB as a whole is doing exceedingly well.  In fact, as it turns out, at least one of the “poorer” clubs isn’t doing so poorly after all.

The real thanks goes to the Associated Press, who obtained financial data for the Pirates from 2007, 2008 and 2009.  Not surpringly (at least not to me), it shows the Pirates have turned a profit.  While losing.

The Pirates eighteen-season losing streak is the longest in professional sports history.  In the years covered by the financial statements, the Pirates received just slightly less than half its income from MLB in the form of revenue sharing, national television revenue, MLB.com and MLB merchandise sales.  Meanwhile, their payroll lingered at the bottom in the Majors.  In fact, their 2010 payroll is only $2 million more than their 1992 payroll.   

Nevertheless, MLB officials say the Pirates are complying with revenue sharing rules.  I’m sure they probably are.  So, what’s wrong with the Pirates making money at being a perennial loser?

I’ve said it quite a few times…baseball is a business.  Owners face decisions about where best to allocate their resources, and the answer is not always club payroll.  Sometimes they have to placate investors.  Other times they have another business venture that produces a greater return for their dollar.  There are hundreds of reasons an owner might not choose to pour money into payroll, or into the club in general.  It’s his/her/its prerogative as the owner of a business. 

Perhaps the problem isn’t with the Pirates or even with baseball.  Maybe it’s simply a paradox created by the relationship between teams and fans.  Here’s what I’ve said before on this (and still whole-heartedly believe):

I’ve thought about it, and here’s an analogy that illustrates the problem.  If your favorite grocery store in town wasn’t giving you what you wanted in terms of stocking your favorite items or keeping the prices competitive, you would simply start shopping in another grocery store.  You could abandon the one you originally preferred with little thought or remorse.  You can’t do that in baseball though. 

I’ll use myself as an example.  I’m a Braves fan.  If the Braves were a club who spent less on payroll than they received in revenue sharing, I would be irritated.  But would I stop going to games or stop being a Braves fan?  Probably not.  See, there’s not another team in town, so I can’t just go watch another MLB team play on Saturday.  And even if there was, I have an emotional attachment to the Braves.  I remember going to games in the late 80s with my dad when the Braves were bottom-dwellers and no one was in the stands.  Then I remember the worst-to-first miracle and all of the postseason games I went to for 14 straight years.  I’ve lived all over the country, and I’ve rooted for several teams, but I’ve never felt about a team like I do about the Braves, because I don’t have the history with the others.  So, even if the Braves owners were spending less on payroll than they received in revenue sharing, I’d probably still be a Braves fan.  That’s why clubs like the Royals still have fans and can still increase in value every year.

I don’t think there is an answer, there’s only a problem we can’t solve as fans.  Baseball is a business, but it’s one we approach with emotion and history.  That’s why there are so many books and blogs and analysts.  Fans want a salary cap even though MLB players make a smaller percentage of league revenue than players in leagues with a salary cap.  Why?  It’s because you want your team to be competitive, because you’re not willing to switch allegiances to another team.  You want a payroll floor for the same reason. 

The problem isn’t with baseball, it’s with fans.  Baseball has seen eight different World Series champions in the last ten years, with fourteen different teams playing in the series.  So, almost half of all teams have made a World Series appearance just in the past decade.  By comparison, the NBA has only had five different champions in the past decade, and only eleven different teams played in the championship.  The NFL has had seven different Super Bowl champions, with fourteen different teams playing in the series.  Yet, MLB fans cry out about competitive imbalance far more than fans of the other leagues. 

The bottom line is that MLB players share less in the league revenue than the other leagues (without a salary cap) and the championship series has seen just as many, or more, teams compete in the last decade as the other leagues.  I think revenue sharing and the luxury tax have been a part of improving competitive balance over the past decade, as has the Wild Card.  Remember that competitive balance is not perfect balance. 

So, what do you think about the information that has come to light with regards to the Pirates?  Are you mad?  Do you think MLB should find a way to keep owners of losing teams from making money?  Is revenue sharing a mistake?

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The Hard Slotting Debate Renewed

As happens every year following the draft, the airwaves, newspapers and blogs have been filled today with demands for a hard slotting system in Major League Baseball.

If you’ve read my work for any appreciable amount of time (thank you), you know that I’m not in favor of most restraints on player salaries.  Accordingly, I’ve spent all day leaving comments on blogs and yelling at the radio voicing my disapproval of hard slotting in the MLB draft.

You can read my thoughts on why hard slotting is unnecessary here.  I don’t have much new to say, just want to bring it to the forefront of the blog.

I will say that it was interesting to see seventeen first-round picks unsigned yesterday morning.  In fact, thirteen of those guys were still unsigned thirty minutes before the deadline. 

One suggestion I’ve heard today is to move the signing deadline up.  One disadvantage of signing late is in missing playing time over the summer.  It hurts the player and the organization.  In that respect, I could support a deadline that falls earlier in the summer.  That being said, it won’t solve the last-minute-signee problem.  Whenever the deadline is, some players will hold out until the bitter end.

Does that mean we need hard slotting?  No.  To me, that is not a legitimate reason to restrain a person’s ability to earn money.  Why is the owners’ interest more important than the player’s?

What I’ve heard a lot today is that the system should be like the NBA.  That’s like comparing apples to oranges.  The NBA’s slotting system applies to first-year salary, not a signing bonus (which is the issue in MLB).  A first-round NBA pick will be playing on the pro team immediately.  The same is not true for a first-round MLB pick.  In fact, many first-round picks never make it to the Majors.  Some of them don’t get guaranteed contracts either, they only get that signing bonus.  You can’t simply take the NBA model and move it to MLB.

You can read the rest of my thoughts on my old post – from why the biggest myth surrounding hard slotting is that the MLBPA should support it to how the Pirates paid out the sixth highest amount in signing bonuses in 2009, despite being the “poorest” team in MLB according to Forbes.

**UPDATE: I’ve been following the debate on another blog, and I spotted this comment from Mike Darcy (who granted me permission to republish) that touches on a couple of points I hadn’t previously discussed:

Not only will MLB lose access to legitimate two-sports stars who will smartly decide to take more money from the other sports, but it will have a longer-range impact. There is already a great concern in MLB about the loss of black athletes to other sports. These kids already see the guaranteed money that top players get in other sports, as well as the endorsement contracts many sign before they even play a game, so this will further the perception (and it’s more than a perception) that if they want to make money they should stay away from baseball. This will cause a further drain, because at a much younger age these kids will elect simply not to play baseball in even more numbers than they are already. (And, yes, I know that MLB is more lucrative once a player makes the majors, but this means nothing to a twelve-year-old deciding on what sport he’ll play.)

Last, and probably of greater concern than what I’ve mentioned above, it will also remove the flexibility MLB teams have in luring talented players on the bubble. I’m not talking about legitimate two-sports stars (those will be lost since MLB teams won’t be able to compete with the other professional sports), I’m talking about other exceptional athletes debating what to do. One example is Austin Jackson, who the Yankees drafted in the 8th round. They gave a record-signing bonus to Jackson for an 8th-round pick (800K), because Jackson was going to Georgia Tech on a scholarship to play basketball, which is his favorite sport. I’m guessing by his height (6’3″) that Jackson wouldn’t have been good enough for the NBA, but he was heading off to college to dedicate a lot of his time playing basketball. Even if he eventually signed to play baseball (an unknown), he’d still be in the minors, as opposed to being a MLB player. And while, in this case, some people used to question if the Yankees had an advantage in signing Jackson because they have more money, in reality the Yankees overall don’t spend that much more money on their draft picks than any team. And in Jackson, it was Yankee money, but it’s the Detroit Tigers who are benefiting, since not only do they get Jackson without spending the upfront 800K, they also unloaded Granderson’s contract on the Yankees. The Tigers benefit. The Yankees benefit. MLB benefits here. Jackson benefits.

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New Website!

I’m very excited to share my new website: www.kristidosh.com! 

Finally, I have one place that organizes and links to everything I do online: this blog, my Forbes SportsMoney blog, my Comcast Sports Southeast blog, my fiction blog, etc.  There’s a live feed on the home page that shows my latest posts from SportsMoney on Forbes.com and from here.  My SportsNite segments, radio interviews and media kit are up, information on my book and other publications, and much more to come! 

A huge thanks goes out to Mara Lubell of Works Progress Design for my tastefully and beautifully designed website!  I spoke with a number of web designers, and I knew when I hung up the phone with Mara that she was the one I wanted to work with.  I couldn’t be happier with my website!

Watch soon for a new design here that will compliment the new www.kristidosh.com design!

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I’m In Love!

I usually don’t blog about this sort of thing here, but I couldn’t resist.

I don’t believe in love at first sight. Tonight, however, I may have changed my mind.

He was dark and handsome, although a little grey around the edges. He told me all about SEC football, from his pride for the Crimson Tide’s 2009 national championship to which players he thought were must-sees in 2010.
He invited me to listen in to coaches calls every Wednesday, and even rattled off the schedule. I marked a recurring appointment on my calendar for 10:20, Meyer Time.

His smell was familiar and soothing. I had to tear myself away to eat my dinner before it grew cold.

Follow the jump to see a picture I snapped. Read more…

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The Legend of Chipper Jones

I have a follower on Twitter who is a Braves fan in Venezuela.  He often asks me things about the Braves that your average fan in Atlanta does not.  Last night, he asked a question that inspired this post.  Here was what he tweeted:

Chipper Jones is one of my idols, he’s my fav player ever. What you think Chipper means to the Atlanta city?

I thought about it for awhile, and then replied that while he’s one of my favorites and should go down as one of the greatest Braves of all time, there are a lot of fans here who don’t care for Chipper Jones.  My twitter friend replied:

really? why?? I mean, Chipper is Braves’ Derek Jeter!

Unfortunately, no, he’s not.  Braves fans either love or hate Chipper, which I don’t think is the case for Jeter in New York.  There are two versions of the Chipper-hating.  The first comes from an affair he had with a Hooters waitress in the mid-90s that produced an illegitimate child.  You can read about it here (although you should note that after the article his wife did divorce him).  He then proceed to marry another woman (not the Hooters waitress who got pregnant, although some websites mistakenly identify her as his second wife) only a few months after divorcing his first wife.  It was basically two years of (unflattering) news stories on his love life.

When news of the affair broke, I was a teenage Braves fan.  I’d had a lifesize poster of Chipper in my bedroom, which I promptly tore down.  I was heartbroken that he was anything less than perfect, on or off the field. 

Over a decade later, the last thing I think about when I look at Chipper Jones is the affair of the illegitimate child.  For me, his personal life has nothing to do with what he’s accomplished on the field for the Braves.  He’s a future hall-of-famer and his #10 will be retired in the next year or two.  He’ll also go down as one of my favorite Braves.

Unfortunately, there seems to be a large contingent of fans who can only remember the times when Chipper has been injured.  The injuries have been numerous over the years, often coming at the least convenient times for the team.  However, I think this year should have taught everyone something.  In the past, if Chipper was out of the lineup, the odds of getting a win were slim.  Until this year.  We finally have a team full of people who step up when Chipper is out, including the bench players like Conrad and Infante.  For once, the burden isn’t on Chipper to be the sole producer. 

Injuries aside, Chipper Jones has put up first-ballot HOF numbers in his career.  He’s a career .305 hitter with a .405 OBP and a .535 SLG percentage.  His 434 career homeruns place him behind only Mickey Mantle and Eddie Murray on the all-time list for switch hitters.  He was on the 1995 team that won the World Series, was MVP in 1999 and won the batting title in 2008. 

In addition, Chipper has taken hometown discounts to stay with the Braves and has gone to the team to restructure his contract when he thought they needed some extra cash to field a winning team.  He’s been unselfish and a leader in the clubhouse for many years. 

There’s no doubt in my mind he should be celebrated as one of the greatest Braves of all time.  Will he be though?  If you’ve ever listened to sports talk radio in Atlanta, you know there are a lot of haters out there.  I’ll let some of the Yankees fans who follow this blog comment on the treatment Jeter receives in New York, but I’m positive it’s better than the way a surprising number of Braves fans treat Chipper Jones.

Braves fans – what do you think?  Does Chipper deserve to be remembered as one of the greatest Braves of all time?  Why or why not?

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Expectations

What do you expect out of an athlete?  Just that he play well?  That he’s loyal to the team?  That he doesn’t get mixed up with steroids? 

I read an interview by an athlete (who will go unnamed, as will his sport) yesterday, and it made me question what I expect out of an athlete.  The athlete has had some measure of success.  He hasn’t been accused of using steroids.  He doesn’t get in trouble for his actions off the playing surface.  Until I read the interview, he was doing all the right things. 

Yet, one sentence changed my opinion of him.  A sentence that was nothing short of 100% honesty.  Which is why I am now questioning the expectations I have for athletes. 

The sentence involved an admission that he would rather be playing a different sport than the one he’s playing. 

At first, I was shocked and angry.  He’s playing a sport thousands of guys would love to be playing.  How dare he admit that he doesn’t love it as much as another sport?!

Then I realized that what he’d really done was something so few people who were asked the question would do – he told the honest truth.  Not the truth we all wanted to hear, but the reality he lives with every day.  Although he’s living the life hundreds of thousands of guys before him have only dreamed about, it’s not his dream. 

I spent some time really thinking about my reaction.  Why did I want him to say what we all expect him to say, that he’s playing the game he loves the most?  Shouldn’t he get some credit for being honest?

I would equate it with how I felt when I met people who got into top law schools and told me they weren’t really sure they wanted to go to law school.  I had wanted to go since I was a kid, and I was furious that they were taking a spot that could be mine when they seemingly could care less about becoming a lawyer.  Similarly, I was a little offended by this athlete’s statement, because I know thousands of other guys would choose his sport as their first choice and would give anything to be playing it.

Having had twenty-four hours to chew on it, I’ve decided I should admire this athlete for his honesty.  I’m sure that he  feels blessed to be where he’s at, even if it wasn’t his first choice.  We all say we hate politically correct, overly polished or rehearsed answers, so I should applaud this guy for telling the truth, admitting his heart lies elsewhere. 

What do you all think?  If you’re lucky enough to get to play a professional sport, should you always have to say that you love it?  Should you be banned from complaining about anything job-related just because you have a career so many others want?

I’m not posting the athlete’s name or sport, because I don’t think it’s important and it’s not the point of this post.  If you’re able to figure it out, please keep it to yourself.

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Five Reasons Baseball is the Healthiest Sports League

While the word “lockout” is being increasingly used in discussions about the NBA and NFL, and the NHL Players Association is still searching for an executive director, Major League Baseball is enjoying one of the most prosperous and competitive eras in its history.  Owners and players seem to be getting along, attendance is good, and division races are hot.  Here’s a look at five reasons (in no particular order) why baseball is the most healthy professional sports league in 2010:

The words “strike” and “lockout” are as far from the collective minds of baseball owners, players and fans as they’ve ever been.  There is no doubt in my mind, or that of anyone else who is familiar with the situation, that the owners and players will come to an agreement before the current collective bargaining agreement expires in December 2011.  Both sides have indicated that discussions will begin following the 2010 season, and neither side has announced any extreme or unreasonable demands.  Meanwhile, the NFL and NFL Players Association are airing their arguments over competing websites and appear to be making no discernable progress towards a new agreement to replace their current agreement expiring in March 2011.  The NBA isn’t fairing much better, and the NHL Players Association still hasn’t appointed an executive director, although they have extended their current collective bargaining agreement through the 2011-2012 season.

Baseball doesn’t need a salary cap for greater parity amongst teams.  The only league without a salary cap, Major League Baseball has as much balance as any of the other leagues.  Although direct comparisons are a little tough because the playoff formats differ, I’ve put together a handy chart to demonstrate how the leagues compare from 2000-2009:

  Percentage of Teams Participating in Playoffs Number of Different Participants Number of Different Champions
MLB 27% (8 of 30 teams) 23 of 30 8
NFL 38% (12 of 32 teams) 29 of 32 7
NBA 53% (16 of 30 teams) 29 of 30 5
NHL 53% (16 of 30 teams) 30 of 30 7

Each time the owners and players prepare to negotiate a new agreement, we all wonder if baseball will finally get a salary cap like the other professional sports leagues.  I, for one, am relieved to hear there will be no push for a salary cap this time.  (If you’re interested in my case against a salary cap in baseball, see here.)  In an interview with Sarah Spain back in October, Bud Selig indicated that there is no need for a salary cap in MLB, because the league already has more parity than ever before.  He went on to point out that he’ll be looking to tweak the revenue sharing system with the new agreement in 2011, but I don’t think that will come as a surprise to the Players Association or anyone else.

MLB survived the economic issues of 2009 with very little impact on attendance.  MLB attendance suffered a 6% decline in 2009, but that number is a bit deceiving.  The two new ballparks in New York, each of which is smaller than its predecessor, have been estimated to account for approximately 30% of the decline last season.  Even at a 6% decline, the 2009 attendance was the fifth highest in MLB history, following seasons that saw the first (2007) and second (2008) highest attendance marks.  When put into perspective, MLB weathered the economic downturn of 2009 with very little impact to the overall league picture.

MLB had record revenue in 2009.  Piggy-backing on the last point, MLB had record revenue in 2009 of $6.6 billion.  Meanwhile, the NFL came in at $6.5 billion, the NBA at $3.2 billion and the NHL at $2.4 billion.  In one of the worst economies of baseball’s history, it produced record revenue. 

MLB Advanced Media is a cash cow.  I’ve wanted to write something nice and long about this for awhile, but I’ll have to settle for this brief blurb for now.  MLBAM is the reason baseball is pulling away from the other leagues in terms of revenue.  The numbers are few and far between, and the most recent ones I have are from 2007, but I’m confident that MLBAM is what has, and what will continue to, set baseball apart from the other leagues.  Under the MLBAM umbrella is MLB.com, MLB Extra Innings, MLB’s deal with XM Radio, and MLB Network. 

As of 2007, MLB.com saw 8-10 million unique visitors every single day.  It provided games to over 500,000 live package subscribers and approximately 27 million of 80 million tickets were purchased online.  In addition, MLB struck a 5-year deal with Stub Hub to be the official reselling outlet, which allows MLB to essentially profit twice from the same ticket.  Revenue has grown from $36 million in 2001 to $450 million in 2007, and is projected to increase by 30% each year.  MLBAM doesn’t just control content for MLB, it also provides live feed for other sporting events like the NCAA basketball tournament and the French Open in tennis.  MLBAM streams more than 12,000 live events per year, more than any other web producer in the world. 

XM Radio will bring in $650 million over its eleven-year contract with MLB.  DirecTV very nearly reached a $700 million, seven-year exclusive contract with MLB for Extra Innings (which offers live, out-of-market games to subscribers for a yearly access fee), but eventually settled for a non-exclusive contract and a shared 1/3 interest in MLB Network with Comcast, Time Warner and Cox Communications.  MLB Network was expected to generate $201 million in 2009, including $151 million in subscriber fees and $50 million in advertising revenue.  It’s projected to be worth over $1 billion by 2015. 

An interesting note is that MLB Network is in approximately 50 million homes, earning around $0.24 per subscriber per month.  By comparison, ESPN is in hundreds of millions of homes worldwide earning approximately $3.65 per subscriber in the US.  Bottom-line: MLB Network has plenty of room for growth and every reason to believe it will continue to grow.

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Catching Up With Kristi

I have been so blessed to have a number of opportunities to discuss sports…literally all over the place.  I’ve got a new post  going up here in the next day or two, but when I’m not posting here, it’s because I’m doing blogging elsewhere, appearing on tv, being interviewed on the radio or even for a magazine!  First, thanks to everyone who has presented me with these opportunities.  Second, here’s where you can check it all out:

  • You can watch my segments on SportsNite on Comcast SportsSoutheast under the Videos page above, or click here.
  • You can listen to my radio interviews with Leading Off and What’s on Second under the Audio page above, or click here.
  • You can see the feature on me in Lifestyles Magazine under the Media page above, or click here.
  • You can check out two blogs I did on my Miss SportsBiz blog on Comcast Sports Southeast’s website here and here.  Both expand upon topics I discussed on my last SportsNite appearance.
  • Last, but not least, don’t forget to check my latest posts on SportsMoney on Forbes.com.  Yesterday, I wrote about Ilya Kovalchuk’s historic 17-year contract with the Devils here.
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Friday Randomness

I have a whole stream of random thoughts bouncing around in my little blonde head, so I’ll just cover all of them in one really random post….

For starters, thanks to all of you who watched me on SportsNite on Comcast Sports Southeast earlier this week! I got some great tweets and emails from you guys. If you missed it, you can see my segment under the Videos page above.

My segment is never long enough for me to get in everything I want to say, so I blogged about all the same topics on the Miss SportsBiz blog on CSS this week. The first post went up Wednesday, and the second one should go up today. You can see the first one here.

On yet another of my blogs, Blue Jeans and Pearls, I’ve had some interesting insight from the guys out there.  I would LOVE more male input, so please head over there and read this post and the two stories that are referenced. 

Basically, there’s been some support for me writing one of my fiction novels from a male point of view.  The idea is gaining some steam, but I want some more feedback from the guys.  Would you read a novel that was based on a male-female relationship.  Not a romance novel, just fiction about a relationship, with all its flaws.  If you would read such a novel (which would probably be based on Jackson, the character referenced in the post), please leave a comment on that post and express your interest. 

Last, but not least, I bid farewell to Yunel Escobar.  I genuinely hope he is able to succeed elsewhere, because he has a ton of God-given talent.  Unfortunately, his attitude left fans and teammates alike with little disappointment over his departure.  If you’ve been watching the games the past month or so, you’ve probably noticed various Braves players rolling their eyes or shaking their head when Escobar flubbed up.  I want to applaud the players, however, for not publicly blasting him.  I think Bobby is a tremendous influence on the team, because they generally follow his lead in not speaking negatively about players to the media.  These guys are class acts.  I feel lucky to be a Braves fan – this season and every season!

Speaking of the Braves…I’ll be at the Braves game tomorrow night tailgating with L.E.A.D. (a revolutionary inner-city baseball league) if you want to stop by!

Hope everybody has a safe and fun Friday night!  Happy weekend!!

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